Could Europe learn to Love The Future?

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Below: Gerd Leonhard & Jo Caudron Conversation July 28, 2026

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02:16

YouTube

From Digital Transformation to Humanity's Survival: We must speak about what Really Matters

This is an excerpt from the new episode of #gerdtalks, a riveting conversation with fellow #publicthinker Jo Caudron which is now live exclusively on my new GerdTV platform: https://www.gerd.tv/programs/reviving-europe-leonhard-caudron. FREE ACCESS (only email is required), plus dubs in 5 languages and free PDF downloads. Please join us there:) In this excerpt, we discuss how our work has shifted from straightforward business and digital transformation topics to more personal and often more e

A wide-ranging conversation between two veteran digital thinkers — Jo Caudron (founder of Belgium's first web agency, 7 books, 30+ years in digital disruption) and Gerd Leonhard — on Europe's identity, AI's role in society, and what it means to fight for a human future.

Shifting Focus

Both Gerd and Jo have moved from business transformation to fundamental questions about humanity's future — from "how to use AI for sales" to "what do we want from AI and Europe?"

"F*CK the System"

Caudron's new book addresses what's happening globally (Trump is a symptom, not the cause); Europe's weaknesses; and a new innovation paradigm — not competing the old way, but a different approach entirely.

Digital → Societal

Caudron notes digital was displaced as the top disruptor by aging populations, housing, and climate — until AI returned it to prominence. Societal factors now drive transformation alongside technology.

Boardroom Gap

CEOs agree on geopolitics, climate, and AI risk — but stakeholder constraints prevent translating awareness into corporate strategy. Agreement in the boardroom rarely becomes action.

Growing Awareness

A year and a half ago, Caudron's broader-societal workshops met resistance. Today, most audiences accept that the current state of the world is not normal — a silver lining.

"For the Human Future"

Leonhard has rebranded his work from "For the Human Business" to "For the Human Future" — pivoting from keynote 'service provider' to advocate. The key question is now "What do we want?" not "What can we have?" — especially for Europe vis-à-vis American tech.

AI & Prediction

AI tools like Futuresearch.com now handle forecasting and analytics. Clients arrive with AI-generated scripts. Gerd usually declines to follow them — the human voice and judgment remain irreplaceable.


Europe: Teenager, Not Sick Old Man

Caudron's metaphor: Europe has been dependent for decades — now the US is withdrawing support and demanding Europe adopt a more conservative stance. Like a teenager forced to become self-reliant, Europe must discover its own capabilities.

Strong Foundations, Wrong Choices

Europe's academia, talent, and innovation remain strong (ASML, ETH Zurich, EPFL). Two past mistakes: outsourcing manufacturing to China and following US funding for market access. The building blocks never left.

Mindset Problem

Leonhard: Europe has the components but suffers a cultural and attitudinal problem — intellectual laziness, risk aversion, unwillingness to do extra work. Cultural change requires a painful moment, like Germany's collapsing car industry.

USofE Rising

Trump's Greenland comments and the US "divorce" have spurred rapid Euro-nationalistic feeling. The perception of European weakness is changing — quickly. Caudron sees this as a positive development.

EU as Market Project → EU State/Federation Project

Europe must transition from a "market project" to a United States of Europe state project — pooling sovereignty, not abandoning it. Switzerland's canton model offers a blueprint. A dedicated Pan-EU "Minister of the Future for Europe" is urgently needed.

The AI Question: Which Race Should Europe Run?

1

Not the Arms Race

The race for AI dominance — economic, military, AGI supremacy — is the wrong one. Like a nuclear weapon, a true AGI superpower could never be used. China would never allow an AI that threatens its own power.

2

The Application Race

Europe's race: best use of AI across society and economy. Stop investing billions in frontier models marginally behind OpenAI. Focus on implementation — aging population, low productivity, education, smarter military command.

3

Transition Sectors

Energy as technology (solar, wind, tidal), protein transition in food, autonomous shared mobility, defense transformation. Europe invests in talent and market introduction — the US has stepped out of this game.

The comingClash of Civilizations: Human Future vs. Transhumanism

Leonhard foresees an inevitable clash between transhumanists/singularity proponents (US-backed) and Europe's vision of a human future. Europe does not want AI as a god or person — only as a well-controlled agent or tool. This is a clash of civilizations: US techno-optimism, Chinese state capitalism, and European humanism.

Caudron frames it as a transversal battle — not East vs. West, but those who want a dystopian future vs. those who don't. Even many Trump supporters oppose Silicon Valley's radical transhumanist agenda. Protests against AI CEOs in the US prove these proponents don't represent the broader population.

Europe's Missing Narrative & Practical Sovereignty

No Thought Leaders, No Strong Stories

Europe lacks widely recognized public intellectuals who can shape thinking across borders. Language barriers and dispersion fragment the intellectual landscape. Caudron: European institutions are good at architecture and legislation but "suck at storytelling."

European Social Media

Caudron proposes "Europe Online" — a platform led by existing European media companies, reverse-engineering popular features, leveraging media reach to break Facebook/TikTok dominance within a year.

Copy-Back Strategy

American companies copied European platforms (e.g., Netlog). Europe should do the same — NextCloud + ProtonMail already replace Microsoft/Google. Government adoption and free alternatives like OpenOffice will drive the transition.

"I Love the Future"

Leonhard's campaign: narrative precedes reality. Europe needs to fall in love with its future — a positive vision to counter populism and inspire younger generations. "Taking Back Tomorrow" as a rallying cry.

The Genesis of "F*CK the System"

Written between February and mid-July 2025, the book incorporates real-time developments — including the materialization of AI — as they unfolded. Its origin traces back to US election night in Amsterdam, where Jo Caudron's desire to understand the underlying mechanisms behind Trump's rise sparked an intensive research journey that became a living document of a pivotal moment in history.

"What Is Happening?"

A deep dive into what is happening in the world and why it's not going away. Trump is a symptom, not the cause — the real forces driving disruption run far deeper than any single political figure.

"How Strong Is Europe?"

A realistic analysis of Europe's actual strengths and weaknesses. Europe is stronger than commonly perceived — but it carries real blind spots that must be honestly confronted.

"A New Innovation Paradigm"

How Europe can adopt an entirely new approach to innovation — moving beyond traditional competition and charting a different path that plays to its unique strengths.

From Pessimism to Hope

The book started with a deeply pessimistic outlook but ultimately found hope and practical solutions. Through rigorous research, Caudron discovered patterns that led him to believe Europe has a genuine and credible path forward — not despite its challenges, but because of how it chooses to face them.

The Timing

Written in real-time as events unfolded, AI itself materialized during the writing process — transforming the book into something rare: a living document capturing a civilizational inflection point as it happened, not in retrospect.

"Trump is a symptom, not the cause — the system itself needs rethinking." — Jo Caudron

Europe's Mindset Problem & The Teenager Metaphor

The Mindset Problem: Europe's Real Barrier

Both Leonhard and Caudron agree — Europe's problem is not a lack of talent, academia, or innovation infrastructure. It's cultural and attitudinal. ETH Zurich, EPFL, ASML — the building blocks are there. What's missing is the guts to use them.

Intellectual Laziness

Leonhard identifies risk aversion, unwillingness to do extra work, and a degree of saturation as Europe's core cultural challenge. Cultural change requires a painful catalyst — like a divorce or therapy.

The Entrepreneur Drain

Many of Europe's best innovators move to the US for its entrepreneurial spirit, larger market, and easier access to capital. The talent exists; the ecosystem doesn't retain it.

Germany as Case Study

Germany's economic struggles are not due to lack of intelligence or desire — it's an issue of attitude. The collapse of the car industry may be the painful moment that forces change.

The Teenager Metaphor

Caudron's most powerful metaphor: Europe has been dependent on the US for decades — militarily, technologically, financially. Now the US is withdrawing support and demanding Europe adopt a more conservative stance. Like a teenager suddenly cut off by their parents, Europe must discover its own capabilities and take responsibility for its own future.

What the US Actually Wants

The US is not simply abandoning Europe — it wants Europe to adopt a more conservative, right-wing stance, as outlined in its national security strategy. This is a values conflict, not just a geopolitical one.

The Silver Lining

A year and a half ago, Caudron's broader-societal workshops met resistance. Today, most audiences accept that the current state of the world is not normal. Awareness is the first step — and it's finally here.

Europe Online & The Copyback Strategy

"Europe Online" — A Social Media Alternative

Caudron's bold proposal: European media companies collaborate to build "Europe Online" — a new social media platform that reverse-engineers the 15 features people actually use on Facebook and TikTok, without copying 20 years of legacy code.

"Reverse-Engineer"

Copy the key features users love, not the entire platform. The AT protocol (used by BlueSky) already exists and enables rapid development.

"Leverage European Media"

Every article, video, and celebrity interaction from European media outlets directs users to "Europe Online" to continue the conversation — a massive built-in advertising campaign.

"Break the Network Effect"

The network effect of Facebook/TikTok is a "black hole." But with European media reach behind it, the platform could reach critical mass within a year.

"European Algorithms"

Not just a platform — a new set of values baked into the algorithm. Honest storytelling, direct connection with people, no engagement-bait optimization.

The Copyback Strategy & Eurostack

What Is Copyback?

American companies copied European platforms (e.g., Netlog). Europe should do the same — take accessible existing technologies and make them European again. Not reinventing from scratch, but strategic reverse-engineering.

European Cloud Is Ready

Caudron has already made the full switch: NextCloud + ProtonMail + European photo apps replace Microsoft and Google entirely. The tools exist. Government adoption will drive mass migration.

The Eurostack Vision

Two dimensions of European technological sovereignty: (1) platforms and data centers — the "hard B2B side" — being addressed with AI and cloud initiatives; (2) control of social media narratives — currently missing.

OpenOffice as Trojan Horse

Free, capable alternatives like OpenOffice to Microsoft Office will drive the transition. As governments migrate, service providers follow. Within a decade, a significant portion of Europeans could be on European cloud services.

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